Business Education Centre Online

Jakarta - Rupiahs Fluctuation of at this Wednesday finally can be lessened by its strength is rupiah final of commerce. Pressure to this local currency is downhill because market perpetrator stand by the Christmas festival holiday
At commerce valas at 17.00 WIB, Wednesday ( 24/12/2008) strong rupiah 100 poin to level 10.800 per ACE dollar. Rupiah today have time to be weak to level 11.215 per ACE dollar
Rupiah Distortion that happened today because attenuating commerce nya making easy rupiah experience of the pressure with the purchasing of just ACE dollar of a few/little

But there is optimism of possibility market of the happening of deflation in December of because decreasing nya of price of premium and diesel fuel
For a while closed to other Asia currency vary to ACE dollar of like strong India rupee 0,76%, strong yen Japan 0,59%, strong Won Korea 2,01%, weak peso Philippine 0,19%, strong dollar Singapura 0,61%, weak bath Thailand 0,17%, weak dollar Taiwan 0,05
It's The economy, stupid! That'S supertitous formula of victory of Bill Clinton of at 1992 moment of campaign of senior melawan George Bush. Clinton say that to go out from that moment ACE recession, economic correction its reply. Last week, in a seminar in this country, Prof Dr Adrianus Mooy, former Indonesia Bank Governor, telling similar supertitous formula as recipe to be this country able to hold out and go out from crisis. The difference, he tell the, It's The Real Sector, Stupid. Real Sector, non financial sector.
Facing holiday of this new year and noel, do not a lot of reason which can make gived a smile world economic. Party of new year possibly will be accompanied by gloomy face all economic perpetrator. Along with global crisis finansial, credit market have collapsed and asset price have melted. As a result mount the drawn request in all the world without exception. Industrial state go forward to experience of the most hard recession distress since second world war. Its Busy, suffer that contagious and felt also at nations of emerging markets, inclusive of Indonesia. Trade route ( ekspor-impor) and finance band ( capital current) is global crisis spreadth entrance at domestic economics.
Economics Indonesia depressed. market of Finance . and economic Growth in 2009 is almost ascertained tardy. World Bank estimate the Indonesia economics will descend drastic become 4,4%. International Monetary Fund ( IMF) estimate about 4,5%. Asian Development Bank ( ADB) estimate about 5%. And Governmental about 5% with the pessimist scenario reach 4,5%. With the the low growth, year 2009 for Indonesia [is] year of living dangerously, very dangerous year. There will be a lot of guncangan, snare, trouble, which can at any times joggle the our economics resilience.
Guliran which [is] [is] felt concerned about from the deceleration is as a result to real sector. If drawn business world progressively, in turn will touch [at] domain of unemployment and poorness. This is heaviest threat for real sector in Indonesia. In the year 2008 this, number [of] Disconnection Of [Relation/Link] Work the ( PHK) have mounted. [At] just just November, noted by as much 66.000 one who is incured by PHK. Amount which this di-PHK is estimated by increasing at 2009. The increasing of number of unemployment and poorness felt concerned about will bring the impact by xself at social life of society.
Party democratize through General election 2009 in fact can own the positive impact because improving society consumption, specially moment by a campaign. political Party hilarity in look after the mass celebrate the democracy expected can improve to writhe the country economics. But, unavoidable global finance crisis in this time have had an effect on also at political party finance condition. Do not a lot of party which still have the power of the excessive fund in face of General election 2009. As a result, although there will be request motivation, its impact still will limited to economic growth.
Then how tardy economics growth attitude in 2009? Possible answer Package the Mooy can be contemplated, It's The real sector, stupid. This matter because Indonesia economics [of] non simply number. At the opposite of that number, live the hard and limber economics actor. They is all economics perpetrator which have been proven during the time own the high endurance. They are widespread [is] totality angle nusantara in its role as farmer, fisherman, breeder, entrepreneur of economic UMKM perpetrator and of area. They in fact poke of nation rescuer.
Crisis moment knock over our country, where economics depressed byweighing, effort them still grow [at] gyration 3-4%. wide Domestic market, social life nets of hand in glove social, have been able to fasten and become the prop for storey;level of unemployment and poorness. Indonesia Economics own the ability make a move like mechanics a machine. Possible without any policy, that machine have walked with the certain growth storey;level. That'S economic flexing of
Indonesia which estimate able to be felt and make all attentional pemutus policy. That they deal with a remarkable economic strength.
In here the importance of all of us to with to saving economics. Don'T all perpetrator [in] real sector and area economics is progressively beaten bybecause crisis. Its impact will be more endanger the economics and stability. They is especial breath of country economics. They differ from the perpetrator of stocks market and also finance market. invesment Portfolio [in] stocks market supposing " arisan [of] all
elite" eye, because is only done by about 0,3% is just the than productive resident of this country. For the reason, directional stimulus packet at real sector need the governmental to prepare the people of to be able to hold out.
Finally, question of non again at how big economic growth of Indonesia in year 2009. But how, with the that tardy growth, Indonesia remain to commit at people importance. That'S challenge for our leader in year 2009. And in here we require a statesman capable to think the people future. Congratulation Christmas festival and New Year 2009. Greeting.
Junanto Herdiawan, economic blogger observer